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Research on Military Equipment Quality Evaluation Method Based on Bayes Theory |
Received:March 11, 2016 Revised:August 15, 2016 |
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DOI:10.7643/ issn.1672-9242.2016.04.027 |
KeyWord:military equipment Bayes networks quality evaluation evaluation index |
Author | Institution |
HAO Dong |
Navy Military Representative Office of 872th Manufactory in Xi’an , Xi’an , China |
ZHAO Jian-zhong |
Naval Aeronautical Engineering University, Yantai , China |
ZHANG Shu-jun |
Navy Electronic Equipment Representative Office in Beijing, Beijing , China |
FANG Yi |
Naval Aeronautical Engineering University, Yantai , China |
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Abstract: |
Objective To propose a kind of effective method to evaluate the quality of weapons under the limited resources and technical level when faced with the constantly changing and uncertain battlefield environment in future. Methods The expert investigation method and Bayes networks were combined. The importance level of the entire equipment quality was described in expert investigation method. Based on the scientific selection of equipment quality indicators, the reasoning function of Bayes networks was used to estimate the changes in equipment quality, and weapon quality evaluation model based on Bayes networks was established. Results The evaluation method reduced the effect of subjective factors and had higher accuracy. Conclusion The evaluation method has demonstrated that the expert investigation method is able to make a judgment on vague information and highlighted the ability of the Bayes networks to deal with non-linear relationship and make estimations and diagnosis. Therefore the method can make scientific and reasonable evaluation on equipment quality. |
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