Evaluation Method of Acceleration Factors for the Single-stress Accelerated Test of Old Products Based on the Nonlinear Degradation Model
Received:March 28, 2025  Revised:May 15, 2025
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DOI:10.7643/issn.1672-9242.2025.05.003
KeyWord:old products  small sample size  single stress  nonlinear degradation  acceleration factor evaluation  storage life evaluation
              
AuthorInstitution
XU Ruyuan Aerospace Science and Industry Defense Technology Research and Test Center, Beijing , China
ZHANG Shengpeng Aerospace Science and Industry Defense Technology Research and Test Center, Beijing , China
TANG Yubin Aerospace Science and Industry Defense Technology Research and Test Center, Beijing , China
NI Ruizheng Aerospace Science and Industry Defense Technology Research and Test Center, Beijing , China
LI Hao Aerospace Science and Industry Defense Technology Research and Test Center, Beijing , China
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Abstract:
      To address the problem of difficulty in evaluating the storage life under the scenario of single-stress accelerated storage tests for old products, the work aims to study the evaluation method of the acceleration factors based on the nonlinear degradation model.The natural storage and accelerated storage test data of products were fitted and analyzed with the least squares method based on the nonlinear degradation model, and the ratios of the degradation rates at different stages were calculated. The acceleration factors of the product were evaluated by the ratio of degradation rates at different stages of the nonlinear degradation model, and the results were compared with those of the traditional linear model. The errors of acceleration factors, equivalent storage life of storage test, and extrapolated storage life of storage test were 9.68%, 2.80%, and 10.84%, respectively. This method can effectively solve the problem of evaluating the acceleration factors in single-stress accelerated storage tests for old products, providing support for the accurate assessment of the life of small-sample products.
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